1 00:00:00,719 --> 00:00:02,639 Yes, perfect. We can see the slides. 2 00:00:04,470 --> 00:00:05,460 Good, good. 3 00:00:06,779 --> 00:00:12,869 Well, good afternoon, everyone. It's my pleasure to be invited and to introduce me 4 00:00:12,929 --> 00:00:17,639 to my collaborators, recent work on precision predictions, well for 5 00:00:17,759 --> 00:00:22,739 differential Higgs alterable, but Norfolk sound boosted region for the Hicks 6 00:00:22,769 --> 00:00:31,649 transfers moment and distribution. Okay, so first I'd like to start with the 7 00:00:31,649 --> 00:00:38,399 success of our cx experiment. Recent. Currently we have the metrics property in 8 00:00:38,399 --> 00:00:42,719 good agreement with the standard model, we have seen the persone kind of search 9 00:00:43,229 --> 00:00:49,529 generation for non compliance is each company measured at precision past minus 10 00:00:49,529 --> 00:00:54,989 10 to 20%. The Higgs mass has been measured with unprecedent accuracy at 11 00:00:54,989 --> 00:01:00,749 premier level. Well the fiducial total car section as shown on the screen In the 12 00:01:00,749 --> 00:01:07,109 lower part here, inside plus minus 90%. What we haven't seen is the secondary 13 00:01:07,109 --> 00:01:13,559 generation from ionic coupling and the dye x signal. And we would continue the 14 00:01:13,559 --> 00:01:18,209 adventure to explore the full potential of the IOC in terms of going differential in 15 00:01:18,209 --> 00:01:23,969 both X production decay channels, to a set new targets for precision, and to look at 16 00:01:23,969 --> 00:01:29,699 interesting fiducial regions for the future. Hi, Lumia see face hope. Hopefully 17 00:01:29,699 --> 00:01:35,519 during this journey, we could accelerate the searches of new physics. Now let's 18 00:01:35,519 --> 00:01:41,789 look at the Higgs production for the total cost. Share DRC. Here's the plot from the 19 00:01:41,789 --> 00:01:47,189 Higgs rocks cross section working group by the ranking of the dominant contributions 20 00:01:47,189 --> 00:01:53,009 start with the global fusion and BBF that we reach production. Then the force the 21 00:01:53,009 --> 00:01:59,309 important contributions that are h two Higgs well the glue will also rank from 22 00:01:59,309 --> 00:02:05,159 the important Friends there has been Thank you Bye Oh QC effects included xx leading 23 00:02:05,159 --> 00:02:10,649 order for the VH and also an X leading order for the T bar ah all of these 24 00:02:10,649 --> 00:02:15,359 production channels also accompanied by the next leading order electroweak 25 00:02:15,359 --> 00:02:20,699 corrections. Now, when we move from the inclusive autocrat section to the 26 00:02:20,699 --> 00:02:26,219 differential one, the current experiment measurement focus on several differential 27 00:02:26,219 --> 00:02:31,109 observables for example, Hicks PT distribution repeats the leading jack PG 28 00:02:31,109 --> 00:02:37,679 distribution recall from the Higgs or the N jet multiplicity measurements. So, from 29 00:02:37,679 --> 00:02:45,809 these measurements, we could see below the major data point, the region or the white 30 00:02:45,809 --> 00:02:52,499 region prominent by the gluon fusion contribution. The shaded area of green or 31 00:02:52,499 --> 00:02:57,539 the dark shadow area are those coming from the other Higgs production channels. So, 32 00:02:57,539 --> 00:03:02,339 if we want to understand the Higgs property in a good way for the bulk of the 33 00:03:02,339 --> 00:03:07,679 distribution we first look at the fusion channel. So currently the experiment I 34 00:03:07,679 --> 00:03:13,049 write the freshman level is about minus 20% for the series about plus or minus 35 00:03:13,049 --> 00:03:19,589 10%. In general, we have good agreement between experiment and the series. Now 36 00:03:19,589 --> 00:03:25,499 let's look at the Higgs PT distribution dive into more details for this particular 37 00:03:25,499 --> 00:03:31,169 observable for the fusion channel. There are different theory behind the different 38 00:03:31,499 --> 00:03:38,729 dynamic range for small PG region namely below 20 gV level we know that the soft 39 00:03:38,729 --> 00:03:44,069 global emissions power you any perturbation can see the predictions to 40 00:03:44,069 --> 00:03:48,929 cause a logarithmic divergence, the treatment is to use resubmission to 41 00:03:50,700 --> 00:03:55,440 sum those large divergence to match to fix the current accuracy. So next next, you 42 00:03:55,440 --> 00:04:02,580 can order metrics with cube out for the medium PT region. Namely from 20 to 200, 43 00:04:02,580 --> 00:04:09,210 gv. This is the region where we could attest to the yft theory, assuming that 44 00:04:09,210 --> 00:04:14,670 the energy flow into the top Quark loop, which connects gluons and the Higgs are 45 00:04:14,670 --> 00:04:21,240 relatively small compared to the top mass, such that we could shrink this loop vertex 46 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:26,400 into a point like vertex. And the current procedure is the next next leading order 47 00:04:26,490 --> 00:04:31,620 correction in the heavy top limit to the posterior region in terms of bigger than 48 00:04:31,650 --> 00:04:37,890 200 gV, we know that the energy scale flowing into the top to open resolving or 49 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:42,990 it's comparable or larger than the mess of the top Quark. So in this region, we have 50 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:48,840 to consider the full loop dependence or namely the Standard Model contribution 51 00:04:48,840 --> 00:04:53,790 rather than EFT. So this involves the calculation of the two loop community 52 00:04:53,790 --> 00:05:00,720 scale diagrams by showing the lower in the right lower part and the DC A particular 53 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:07,530 challenging calculation mathematically for the Fineman diagrams. Also for the boosted 54 00:05:07,530 --> 00:05:12,240 region, we would see sharply fully in statistics, why the dynamical fiducial 55 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:16,860 region this is challenging for both extremes and the theory to have a fair 56 00:05:16,860 --> 00:05:22,950 estimation of the systematic error on both sides to make a reasonable comparison and 57 00:05:22,950 --> 00:05:29,100 this is region also we are very interested in because the bsm models or bsm signals 58 00:05:29,700 --> 00:05:35,280 potentially are involved in those large energy scale in terms of high extra 59 00:05:35,550 --> 00:05:44,070 generation of quarks are optional effects from your particles. So now let's focus on 60 00:05:44,070 --> 00:05:48,270 the boosted the Higgs region. As I mentioned that we need to include the 61 00:05:48,420 --> 00:05:53,850 Standard Model top Mass Effect. Now two ways to look at it. One way is to expand 62 00:05:53,850 --> 00:05:59,640 the complicated Fineman diagram in the variables to the region, it a few t I feel 63 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:04,590 TV The level or the energy scale is much larger than the mass of the Higgs or the 64 00:06:04,590 --> 00:06:09,750 mass of the top. And after the expansion is approximation, but analytical 65 00:06:09,750 --> 00:06:14,340 expansion, then we can calculate the expanded form analytically to have a 66 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:20,520 electrical result. Other ways to calculate it directly the calculation, but it's very 67 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:24,840 numerically mathematically challenging such thoughts only the numerical result is 68 00:06:24,840 --> 00:06:29,760 currently available, but the numerical result would suffer from the stability for 69 00:06:29,790 --> 00:06:36,900 either the high p region in terms of above one gv level. So, there has been tried 70 00:06:36,930 --> 00:06:44,070 efforts to combine the two are very high PG, but still increasing you know wider 71 00:06:44,070 --> 00:06:48,540 dynamic range the reliability of Siri prediction. So now beyond the technical 72 00:06:48,540 --> 00:06:53,940 part of the phenomenology calculation if we look at the result, the current state 73 00:06:53,940 --> 00:06:57,690 of the art accuracy is next linear with a standard model prediction from a global 74 00:06:57,690 --> 00:07:03,180 future with uncertainty about the past night 20% of the corresponding 75 00:07:03,210 --> 00:07:10,770 experimental measurements focused on above 350 gV has an IRA rental statistic for 76 00:07:10,770 --> 00:07:18,240 about the past minus 50%. But this is not the full story. Recently, the Higgs cross 77 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:25,050 section Working Group deliver a study that just tried to focus on the posted Higgs 78 00:07:25,050 --> 00:07:31,380 region and we find that the boosted Higgs PD distribution is enhanced by the Quark 79 00:07:31,380 --> 00:07:37,500 PDF such that the VH production channel dominant over the gluon fusion is above 80 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:42,690 1.2 gb level and each of these two channels contributes about one third to 81 00:07:42,690 --> 00:07:52,140 the total accumulated across section above 1.2 TV for the th and the V Vf production 82 00:07:52,140 --> 00:07:57,420 channels are combined to the last one sort of contribution. So these indicate that to 83 00:07:57,420 --> 00:08:02,100 to really have a fair estimation for What is the standard model background in this 84 00:08:02,100 --> 00:08:07,620 region we need to use the joint efforts for all the Higgs production channels to 85 00:08:07,620 --> 00:08:12,120 be taken into account and the to include that they are state of the art surgery 86 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:12,720 procedure. 87 00:08:14,490 --> 00:08:20,040 Okay, now let's move on to the confusion channel into more details. Here is a plot 88 00:08:20,430 --> 00:08:28,170 by this x cross section Working Group. Note that includes the state of our TFT 89 00:08:28,170 --> 00:08:32,370 and the state of our standard model prediction, we can see that either one TV 90 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:37,830 level the two predictions are different our order of magnitude. So this clicker 91 00:08:37,830 --> 00:08:42,330 means that the EFT is not reliable. However, if we look at the lower panel of 92 00:08:42,330 --> 00:08:47,790 the key factor, they are remarkably similar and nearly flat at large PT. So 93 00:08:47,790 --> 00:08:55,230 this could lead us to our ideal solution that we need the next leading order 94 00:08:55,230 --> 00:08:59,880 standard model accuracy, but we also want the next next leading order EFT precision 95 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:04,890 So, this can be delivered with the assumption that although right now not 96 00:09:04,890 --> 00:09:11,460 available, but in the future, the Standard Model predict predictions also has a flat 97 00:09:11,460 --> 00:09:16,050 key effect, right the large PT. So right now, we rescale the next next leading 98 00:09:16,050 --> 00:09:22,110 order EFT by region factor from the next leading order Standard Model assess the 99 00:09:22,110 --> 00:09:28,590 mechanism of the EFT for the central value of the prediction. So, this is only part 100 00:09:28,590 --> 00:09:34,020 of the analysis that we also need to have a fair estimation for the Iraq. This now 101 00:09:34,020 --> 00:09:40,290 includes the independent scale variation of this week in terms of this region 102 00:09:40,290 --> 00:09:45,930 factoring from under the next next, you know, the yft prediction on TOEFL. On top 103 00:09:45,930 --> 00:09:51,450 of that we also need to estimate the missing talk Mass Effect for the next next 104 00:09:51,450 --> 00:09:56,160 leading with a standard model coefficient. We can have a fair estimation for this 105 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:01,380 effect by looking at while they're lower what we missed. For the next leading order 106 00:10:01,380 --> 00:10:06,060 related result compared to the full next lead in the standard model, use those 107 00:10:06,060 --> 00:10:11,280 percentage to multiply the next to next lead to the EFT coefficient have a fair 108 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:18,270 estimation for the muscle mass effect. Now is this treatment, we come to the current 109 00:10:18,270 --> 00:10:23,580 master prediction for the ggf channel in terms of the EFT improved one, that's 110 00:10:23,580 --> 00:10:29,310 actually the order in the distribution here is showing the magenta color. So with 111 00:10:29,310 --> 00:10:36,060 this best prediction, we combine the theory IRA from two sources mentioned 112 00:10:36,060 --> 00:10:42,870 above in quadrature, and the reach to the theoretical certainty at plus or minus 10% 113 00:10:42,900 --> 00:10:50,400 level at our next tax levy or the rebate. So now, these are very promising progress 114 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:54,780 from the state of our calculation, but those calculations are very complicated 115 00:10:54,780 --> 00:11:01,080 and the neither a lot of efforts in terms of computing time Under the setup of the 116 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:06,780 code, and they are not publicly available, so to to make sure that the publicly 117 00:11:06,780 --> 00:11:12,390 available tools are also give can also give experimentalists a good estimation. 118 00:11:12,390 --> 00:11:18,000 We also studied for example, the simple hack i o and the medical error file using 119 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:23,070 similar setup for this boosted region. And we also match the polygon the middle 120 00:11:23,070 --> 00:11:29,490 result with PCL six puddle shower to also include the puddle shower effect. So, the 121 00:11:30,210 --> 00:11:35,730 results compared with the current best is quite promising. We see that the mean on 122 00:11:35,730 --> 00:11:41,130 the Minecraft five result has a central value in good agreement with the 123 00:11:41,220 --> 00:11:45,630 corresponding surgical arrow with the current the best under the current or past 124 00:11:45,630 --> 00:11:50,730 has about plus 20% correction to the central value while the uncertainty is 125 00:11:50,730 --> 00:11:57,840 reduced from plus minus 20% or more to plus minus 10%. So a reduction of more 126 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:06,390 than or roughly about 100% From the theory perspective, so this is then I mean very 127 00:12:06,390 --> 00:12:12,030 useful information that you could still use perhaps me or Minecraft, including the 128 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:18,330 Mass Effect optimax linear models with pattern shower and now to mesh to compare 129 00:12:18,330 --> 00:12:22,800 to the current events, there are some key factors you can extract from those 130 00:12:23,130 --> 00:12:28,110 analysis and to enhance the accuracy of the standard mode background. 131 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:35,160 Okay, so as I mentioned before, this is only one third of the full picture for the 132 00:12:35,370 --> 00:12:41,850 future. We also delivered a study for the vH vpf and the TT Rh contributions also 133 00:12:41,850 --> 00:12:46,860 including the electronic fractions your social class or group and here is the 134 00:12:46,860 --> 00:12:53,580 result for the full combined Higgs production at high PT in the black curve, 135 00:12:53,760 --> 00:13:00,000 and with the different production channels coded in different color and this is an 136 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:05,280 Under actually with result I showed before for the fraction contribution for 137 00:13:05,280 --> 00:13:10,590 different production channel that the claw fusions actually get less and less 138 00:13:10,590 --> 00:13:18,270 important that the VHP kept the dominant position okay. So, now more quantitative 139 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:23,730 analysis for the contribution between different production channels, we could 140 00:13:23,730 --> 00:13:30,360 see that the dominant scale or scale uncertainty is currently still coming from 141 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:36,240 the ggf for the current best and from the TT batch at about the plus or minus 10% 142 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:42,150 level, the reach production is getting more and more important at large PT and 143 00:13:42,150 --> 00:13:46,770 the corresponding and actually they will do something about 5% and actually the 144 00:13:46,770 --> 00:13:52,080 state of art calculation not included here, but is already available at next 145 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:57,510 next leading order indicates a further reduction of scale has certain down to 2%. 146 00:13:57,630 --> 00:14:03,870 So, this is actually a question Under a very good control, interestingly to notice 147 00:14:03,870 --> 00:14:10,380 that although the vbf scale uncertainty is the smallest among all the four channels, 148 00:14:10,380 --> 00:14:15,330 but it's increase gradually from low PT to high PG are the other channels. 149 00:14:15,450 --> 00:14:22,380 Theoretical uncertainty is basically the flat. And on top of this, we also need to 150 00:14:22,410 --> 00:14:26,850 bear in mind that the electronic corrections are substantial. We don't have 151 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:32,880 the prediction for graph fusion a channel for the electronic corrections yet, but by 152 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:37,650 looking at the dvh production channel for the electronic correction can be as large 153 00:14:37,650 --> 00:14:44,700 as minus 30% at a large peaky region above the TV, so this has to be taken into 154 00:14:44,700 --> 00:14:50,790 account. And so with all this information is not aiming for, I'd say this is the 155 00:14:50,790 --> 00:14:56,640 result you should use but to just remind us that the new physics effects could 156 00:14:56,640 --> 00:15:01,500 affect the virus China's differently that we read. recommand to use simplified 157 00:15:01,530 --> 00:15:07,530 simplified template cross section to reconstruct or classify each event to by 158 00:15:07,530 --> 00:15:11,040 their production channel. And to understand what's the corresponding 159 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:15,810 compensation factor we should use to have a fair estimation of the standard model. 160 00:15:18,420 --> 00:15:22,380 Okay, now let me come to my conclusion that the Higgs boson precision 161 00:15:22,380 --> 00:15:25,860 measurements focus on differential observables and the distribution in 162 00:15:25,860 --> 00:15:30,000 production and the decay channels. The corresponding predictions focused on 163 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:35,340 reducing uncertainties from or sources for example, fixed order correction actually 164 00:15:35,340 --> 00:15:40,290 correction potential effect, etc. So the boosted Higgs is becoming the focus we 165 00:15:40,290 --> 00:15:45,060 improve both experiment and see reposition to accelerate the searches for new 166 00:15:45,060 --> 00:15:49,800 physics. And the Higgs properties is quite different in the boost integration time 167 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:55,440 the bulk of the Higgs production car section currently the red coin certainties 168 00:15:55,440 --> 00:16:03,450 under control I took about a 10 to 15% level for Expedia 400 gV patentee are 169 00:16:03,450 --> 00:16:09,120 several new sources of cereal and certainly not included in this quarter. In 170 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:13,770 terms of the top master scheme choice, which is substantial linear order should 171 00:16:13,770 --> 00:16:18,390 be considerably reduced when we go to higher order this would affect the top 172 00:16:18,390 --> 00:16:24,720 mastering the full Standard Model looping group, or the top mass used in the DFT for 173 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:29,580 the Wilson correction. Also, we haven't included the PDF and the company 174 00:16:29,580 --> 00:16:34,740 uncertainty in the 10 to 15% quarter, but we believe it can be systematically 175 00:16:34,740 --> 00:16:39,780 improved in the future from the efforts of the PDF group are fitting with more 176 00:16:39,780 --> 00:16:46,170 precise data from IFC. We could also do a better job in the future to rescale for 177 00:16:46,170 --> 00:16:51,990 the mass atomic mass effect in the global fusion channel event by event rescaling 178 00:16:51,990 --> 00:16:57,630 manual right now is a histogram level. And we also plan to upgrade the VH and the BB 179 00:16:57,630 --> 00:17:02,190 if predictions to include the next time leading order items you buy state of the 180 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:09,090 art accuracy to have more control of the answer today, especially for the VH 181 00:17:09,090 --> 00:17:11,400 production channel. Thank you. 182 00:17:11,909 --> 00:17:16,739 Thank you very much. It was very interesting. We're a bit over time. So 183 00:17:16,739 --> 00:17:19,109 let's take questions from the audience. 184 00:17:32,970 --> 00:17:39,270 Giovanni please. Yeah, I was wondering So, the uncertainties here, this finger is 185 00:17:39,270 --> 00:17:48,690 essentially for to Sydney and then we should and we expect to the the to show 186 00:17:48,690 --> 00:17:58,230 that somehow the also the electroweak part or on you know, if this is the case so you 187 00:17:58,230 --> 00:18:04,170 know, when we could also improve these estimates to add those to the estimate of 188 00:18:04,170 --> 00:18:05,010 the electroweak 189 00:18:05,969 --> 00:18:17,579 Yeah. So, yeah, so this 10 to 15% quota, it's basically this table combining okay. 190 00:18:17,609 --> 00:18:23,219 So in this highlighted region combining those uncertainties together for 191 00:18:23,279 --> 00:18:29,009 estimation in quadrature for fair estimation, but these are mainly from the 192 00:18:29,039 --> 00:18:35,549 QC the corrections the scale variation, the missing high water effects beyond the 193 00:18:35,819 --> 00:18:45,299 current nominated fixed older, yeah. So, this part, we we were kind of assuming 194 00:18:45,299 --> 00:18:49,859 that the was the dominant uncertainty level is still kind of quite important 195 00:18:49,919 --> 00:18:55,829 from the confusion channel and the electronic corrections that the we have to 196 00:18:55,829 --> 00:19:00,929 include a correction for sure, but the corresponding uncertainty mean we need to 197 00:19:00,929 --> 00:19:06,749 add this minus 30% to the VH channel? No too little for the central value, but the 198 00:19:06,929 --> 00:19:11,759 response theoretical error is not as significant as the QC dx certainly here. 199 00:19:11,909 --> 00:19:19,019 So there are like so it's kind of the, say the the systematic theory error due to the 200 00:19:19,049 --> 00:19:24,059 components we forgot to include. That's one big correction. The other one is once 201 00:19:24,059 --> 00:19:30,059 we include everything, because of the fundamental problem of quantum field 202 00:19:30,059 --> 00:19:35,369 theory in the perturbation theory, still some level of uncertainty here we will not 203 00:19:35,369 --> 00:19:40,919 be able to go beyond and that's that's kind of the bottleneck part not have to 204 00:19:40,919 --> 00:19:46,199 rely on the higher order corrections or more detailed resubmission study. These 205 00:19:46,199 --> 00:19:51,929 are the kind of the quoted error I have here for the 10 to 15%. 206 00:19:55,470 --> 00:20:01,410 Thank you, my friend, we need to move on quite quickly so let's 207 00:20:02,939 --> 00:20:05,039 let's thank axon again and let's